OperatorVisual backtest of a strategy against stored historical data — price + signal markers per market, equity curve, drawdown, P&L.When: Before launching a strategy into a live portfolio, when tuning parameters, or when validating a <code class="mono">score_type</code> change.

Details

What this page is forVisual backtest of a strategy against stored historical data — price + signal markers per market, equity curve, drawdown, P&L.

When to use itBefore launching a strategy into a live portfolio, when tuning parameters, or when validating a <code class="mono">score_type</code> change.

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← Back to Election Momentum

Backtest · Election Momentum

Visual backtest against stored historical book/trade data. BACKTEST badge on every panel. Operator-facing only — never surfaced as a marketed track record.

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Why this page exists

Traders need to see what a strategy did before they trust it. The backtest surface plots price + signal markers per market, an aggregate equity curve, a drawdown curve, and a P&L summary. Start with one market; once the result holds up, expand to the full universe.

Backtest configuration

Strategy

Election Momentum confidence

Market scope (same as live)

mode: cluster · cluster.us_election_2026 · resolved to 14 markets

Time window

2026-04-15 → 2026-05-15 (30 days)

Symmetry rule: backtest uses the same market-scope semantics as live. A strategy bound to a cluster runs the backtest against the historical members of that cluster over the chosen window.

Trades

3 BUY / 3 SELL

Win rate

5 / 6

backtest only

P&L (pUSD)

+$216

on $1,000 backtest float

Max drawdown

-0.5%

Sharpe (informational)

1.42

backtest only

Price + signal markers

BACKTEST

election-2026-us-senate · 60 ticks · BUY/SELL markers fired by the strategy on each evaluation step.

BUY SELL price source: stored book mid · 5m intervals

Equity curve

BACKTEST

Cumulative pUSD value starting from a $1,000 backtest float. Dashed line is the starting baseline.

Drawdown

BACKTEST

Peak-to-trough % deviation from the running high-water mark. Shallow drawdown suggests the entry filter is tight.

Trade log

#	Timestamp	Side	Price	Size (pUSD)	strategy_score	Reason code
1	2026-04-17 09:12	BUY	$0.45	$100	0.71	STRAT_MOMENTUM_LONG
2	2026-04-22 14:38	SELL	$0.53	$100	0.34	STRAT_MOMENTUM_EXIT
3	2026-04-27 10:04	BUY	$0.60	$100	0.68	STRAT_MOMENTUM_LONG
4	2026-05-04 16:21	SELL	$0.69	$100	0.41	STRAT_MOMENTUM_EXIT
5	2026-05-07 11:55	BUY	$0.73	$100	0.66	STRAT_MOMENTUM_LONG
6	2026-05-14 13:10	SELL	$0.79	$100	0.37	STRAT_MOMENTUM_EXIT

Important

Backtest output is operator-facing only. It is for strategy authoring and validation. It must never be surfaced as a marketed track record or public performance claim. See the backtest definition in the glossary and the M2 scope doc.

All data on this page is synthetic in this mock. Sharpe is shown for informational symmetry only — it is not a performance promise.

Polytraders Operator UX Mock · INTERNAL · demo-wired ≠ production-live · the plan · reason codes · shadow-mode pipeline