OperatorCurate a cluster of related markets — vet quality, check correlations, set per-cluster limits, then push to Registry.When: Before onboarding correlated markets or sizing exposure against a cluster cap.
Details
What this page is forCurate a cluster of related markets — vet quality, check correlations, set per-cluster limits, then push to Registry.
When to use itBefore onboarding correlated markets or sizing exposure against a cluster cap.
Cluster Workbench — Curate before you wire
Per-cluster deep-dive — pick a cluster, vet member markets, check correlation, set per-cluster limits, push to Registry. For the full searchable catalog of every market the bots see, use Markets – Universe.
Cluster
US_ELECT_2028_A
Member markets
7
2 candidates pending
Avg correlation (ρ)
0.62
synthetic / not a forecast
Cluster gross exposure
$84,200 pUSD
of $150k cap
Open positions
4
Quality score (avg)
B+
from disc.marketqualityranker
Correlation summary
Top 5 pairs — synthetic / not a forecast
PRES_DEM
PRES_REP
SEN_26
HOUSE_26
SCOTUS
PRES_DEM
—
0.81
0.74
0.66
0.31
PRES_REP
0.81
—
0.68
0.55
0.28
SEN_26
0.74
0.68
—
0.59
0.22
HOUSE_26
0.66
0.55
0.59
—
0.19
SCOTUS
0.31
0.28
0.22
0.19
—
Top suggested actions
- Reduce SENATE_CONTROL exposure (ρ=0.81 with PRES_DEM)
- Consider neg-risk arb: PRES_DEM + PRES_REP + PRES_OTHER currently sums to 1.02
- Quality downgrade flagged on 2026_HOUSE_CONTROL
Member markets
Bulk-select to push to Registry, assign cluster, or mark for review
| Market | Condition ID | YES | Spread (bps) | Quality | Exposure | Reason | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRES_DEM 2028 nominee | 0x7f3a98b1cd… | 0.56 | 14 | A | $15,000 | INTEL_MACRO_NEUTRAL | active |
| PRES_REP 2028 nominee | 0xa2bc4135e7… | 0.41 | 16 | A | $12,500 | STRAT_MAKER_QUOTE_INSIDE | active |
| PRES_OTHER 2028 | 0xc841f7e2b9… | 0.05 | 28 | B | $0 | DISC_LOW_LIQUIDITY | watch |
| SENATE_CONTROL 2026 | 0xd91e4c87a2… | 0.51 | 18 | B+ | $8,000 | STRAT_MAKER_QUOTE_INSIDE | active |
| HOUSE_CONTROL 2026 | 0xe04b1f9d3c… | 0.48 | 26 | B- | $0 | DISC_QUALITY_DOWNGRADE | watch |
| SCOTUS_VACANCY_2026 | 0xf172a8b6c4… | 0.22 | 32 | C | $0 | DISC_DUPLICATE_DETECTED | candidate |
| STATE_GOV_CA_2026 | 0x8a45c1e7f2… | 0.66 | 21 | B | $0 | INTEL_HEADLINE_LAGGING | candidate |
Per-cluster limits
Configuration for US_ELECT_2028_A — demo-only changes do not persist
0.75
Changes are demo-only and do not persist.
Cluster wiring
Bots watching US_ELECT_2028_A — demo-wired only
| Bot | Family | State | Last beat |
|---|---|---|---|
| intel.crossmarketgraph | Intelligence | demo-wired | 12s ago |
| disc.marketqualityranker | Discovery | demo-wired | 27s ago |
| risk.correlationshockguard | Risk | frozen | — |
| strat.cross-market-arb | Strategy | frozen | — |
Why this matters
The Workbench is where operators curate clusters before committing to the Registry. demo-wired ≠ production-live — Workbench changes never auto-commit; explicit push required. Correlation data is synthetic / not a forecast and built byintel.crossmarketgraph. Quality scores are from disc.marketqualityranker.
Recent workbench activity
| Time | Operator | Action | Target | Reason code |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:47 | trader_alice | pushed market to Registry | STATE_GOV_CA_2026 | DISC_OK |
| 12:34 | trader_alice | updated per-cluster limit | US_ELECT_2028_A | RISK_EXPOSURE_CAP_HIT |
| 12:21 | JD (Admin) | marked for review | HOUSE_CONTROL 2026 | DISC_QUALITY_DOWNGRADE |
| 11:58 | trader_alice | added candidate market | SCOTUS_VACANCY_2026 | DISC_DUPLICATE_DETECTED |
| 11:42 | JD (Admin) | ran correlation refresh | US_ELECT_2028_A | INTEL_MACRO_NEUTRAL |
| 11:17 | trader_alice | saved cluster limits | US_ELECT_2028_A | GOV_CONFIG_SAVED_DEMO |