Instruments
The Polymarket markets your strategies are allowed to touch. Configuration source-of-truth for every guardrail input.
Why this page is new
Today the Strategy create form accepts free-textevent_slug and market_slug inputs
with no validation, no metadata, and no V2-readiness check. The mock makes Instruments a first-class
configurable entity: every market is registered with its outcome IDs, settlement asset, spread,
liquidity, and current state. risk.markethaltguard, risk.stalebookguard,
and risk.marketqualityguard all read from this catalogue.
Total instruments
28
V2-ready
0
V1-only (blocked)
1
Halted
3
Stale book
3
How this feeds the bots
Every row here is one row in a typedInstrumentRegistry the runner loads at boot.
risk.markethaltguard reads halt, risk.stalebookguard reads the
book timestamp, risk.marketqualityguard reads spread + liquidity grade,
exec.smartrouter reads the CTFExchangeV2 contract address. No bot ever talks to
Polymarket directly — it talks to the registry.
| Market | Category | Version | Asset | Spread | Liquidity / quality | State | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 US Senate control election-2026-us-senate |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 18 bps | trading | Open | |
| US House 2026 majority us-house-2026-majority |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 24 bps | trading | Open | |
| Dem presidential nominee 2028 election-2028-d-nominee |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 31 bps | trading | Open | |
| Rep presidential nominee 2028 election-2028-r-nominee |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 29 bps | trading | Open | |
| UK snap election 2026 uk-snap-election-2026 |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 47 bps | trading | Open | |
| BTC > $150k by EOY 2026 btc-150k-2026 |
Crypto | V2 ready | pUSD | 41 bps | trading | Open | |
| ETH spot ETF approved 2026 eth-spot-etf-approval |
Crypto | V1 only · blocked | USDC | 29 bps | blocked · V1 | Open | |
| SOL $100B market cap 2026 sol-100b-mcap-2026 |
Crypto | V2 ready | pUSD | 55 bps | trading | Open | |
| Stablecoin law signed 2026 crypto-stablecoin-law-2026 |
Crypto | V2 ready | pUSD | 38 bps | trading | Open | |
| BTC cycle top confirmed 2026 btc-cycle-top-2026 |
Crypto | V2 ready | pUSD | 63 bps | stale book | Open | |
| NBA Finals 2026 winner nba-finals-2026-winner |
Sports | V2 ready | pUSD | 24 bps | trading | Open | |
| NBA MVP 2026 nba-mvp-2026 |
Sports | V2 ready | pUSD | 28 bps | trading | Open | |
| Super Bowl LXI MVP nfl-superbowl-2026-mvp |
Sports | V2 ready | pUSD | 31 bps | trading | Open | |
| UEFA Champions League 2026 ucl-2026-winner |
Sports | V2 ready | pUSD | 36 bps | trading | Open | |
| T20 World Cup 2026 winner t20-wc-2026-winner |
Sports | V2 ready | pUSD | 42 bps | trading | Open | |
| Fed funds rate · Q2 2026 fed-rate-2026-q2 |
Macro | V2 ready | pUSD | 22 bps | trading | Open | |
| Fed funds rate · Q3 2026 fed-rate-2026-q3 |
Macro | V2 ready | pUSD | 25 bps | trading | Open | |
| May 2026 nonfarm payrolls nfp-may-2026 |
Macro | V2 ready | pUSD | 35 bps | trading | Open | |
| CPI June 2026 above 3% cpi-jun-2026 |
Macro | V2 ready | pUSD | 30 bps | trading | Open | |
| ECB rate cut June 2026 ecb-cut-jun-2026 |
Macro | V2 ready | pUSD | 27 bps | trading | Open | |
| Next frontier model released ai-frontier-model-2026 |
Tech | V2 ready | pUSD | 88 bps | stale book | Open | |
| AGI claim by lab 2027 agi-claim-2027 |
Tech | V2 ready | pUSD | 95 bps | trading | Open | |
| OpenAI IPO by 2027 openai-ipo-2027 |
Tech | V2 ready | pUSD | 72 bps | trading | Open | |
| Anthropic Series C+ 2026 anthropic-c-round-2026 |
Tech | V2 ready | pUSD | 84 bps | trading | Open | |
| EU AI Act enforcement 2026 ai-regulation-eu-2026 |
Tech | V2 ready | pUSD | 49 bps | trading | Open | |
| Trade war escalation · Q2 trump-trade-war-q2 |
Politics | V2 ready | pUSD | 52 bps | trading | Open | |
| Brent crude > $100 by EOY brent-oil-100-2026 |
Commodities | V2 ready | pUSD | 110 bps | stale book | Open | |
| SCOTUS rules on case X scotus-affirm-2026 |
Legal | V2 ready | pUSD | 68 bps | HALTED | Open |
Locked rule
Strategies cannot reference an instrument that is not in this registry. Free-text slugs in the create form returnGOV_INSTRUMENT_UNKNOWN and are rejected at save time.
V1-only instruments are visible but greyed out — strategies that select one fail with
GOV_INSTRUMENT_V1_BLOCKED.